Congress might become BLUE
New poll out suggests the DEMOCRATS will have a 19 seat majority in the House........Speaker Pelosi?
I wonder if Denny's gonna pull a NEWT and resign if they lose control?
And remember we have just under 4 weeks to go, so the majority just MIGHT GROW.
The trends almost all year has been towards the democrats, and the repugs have pulled their campaign funds out of races held by democrats so they ARE playing defense.
This could be the election which is the watershed movement to turn this country around, and return the congress back for the people, by the people and to the people.
posted by clif at 3:15 PM
3 Comments:
October 12, 2006
A "Deep Blue Sea" in the 2006 Midterms?
Small Craft Advisory becomes Gale Warning for GOP
Larry J. Sabato
Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
Just a few weeks ago, President Bush and the GOP appeared to be staging a remarkable comeback that would have enabled the Republicans to retain their congressional majorities. The Foley scandal and the deteriorating situation in Iraq have changed all that, and it is clear that as of mid-October, there is a Democratic gale a blowin'. We all hope that Samuel L. Jackson isn't eaten by a shark again, but it's looking like the GOP's worst fear might be about to surface.
Democrats are moving up--some rapidly--in a wide range of competitive contests for the House, the Foley storm's chamber of direct impact. For the first time this year, your cautious Crystal Ball now projects a Democratic majority of somewhere between 221 and 225 seats (with 218 needed for control). In fact, to reflect just how precipitously many GOP-held seats have drifted from safe harbor, we have had to jettison not only the "Dirty Thirty" but now the "Ferocious Forty" as well. In their place, meet the "Ferocious FIFTY" theaters of battle, 42 of which are currently held by Republicans. It is indeed noteworthy that since last month's update, the Crystal Ball can now count an additional ten House districts as truly competitive (rated either as a Toss-up or "leaning" towards one party in our chart below).
In the Senate we believe that control of the body is up for grabs, with Democrats nearly sure to win 15 out of the 33 total seats up this year. Four more seats are on the edge but leaning slightly towards the Democrats. The five total toss-ups will determine which party organizes the upper chamber, and the Democrats will likely need to capture all five of them to take control, a reasonable possibility given the dynamics of each race in that category.
For Democrats, the best part of election night might be in the statehouses. The Crystal Ball believes that when the votes are counted, Democrats will have between 26 and 28 Governors, up from the current 22--and they are likely gaining seats in the vital states of Ohio and New York.
Can these forecasts change? Is the Pope German? But at this point, the probability is that the shifts will primarily be fine-tuning. There are only three possible outcomes in the House, for instance. Either the GOP will maintain its majority by a wafer-thin margin, or the Democrats will get their own small majority, or the Democrats will break through for a sizeable majority. Options two and three--or something in between them--now appear likely. In the Senate, the alternatives are dramatically diminished GOP control or the slimmest of Democratic majorities, with the fates pointing to the tiniest edge still for a Republican Majority Leader. In the statehouses, important Democratic gains are literally certain.
IO would like to hear more coverage about the Senate races, everyone keeps saying its to close to call or the Democrats will gain a few seats but not take control of the Senate, anyone think the Democrats WILL take control of the Senate?
A blue Congress!!!! Oh for the love of Peanut Butter Apple Sandwiches my heart is racing with glee right now at the thought of it!!!
A blue Congress....(snif)....it's what I've always wanted. (Snif)
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